Category: Economy

  • Rivers State Council Proposes N1.8 Trillion Budget Amidst Continued Political Tension

    Rivers State Council Proposes N1.8 Trillion Budget Amidst Continued Political Tension

    Reporting by Daily Post indicates that the Rivers State Executive Council has approved a N1.8 trillion budget proposal for the 2026 fiscal year. The budget is intended to facilitate the completion of major infrastructure projects and advance social development across the state’s 23 local government areas.

    The announcement comes at a time of heightened political friction between Governor Siminalayi Fubara and his predecessor, Nyesom Wike. Despite the administrative progress, the political environment remains volatile, with both sides trading accusations regarding the leadership of the state.

    Premium Times reported on the ‘sounds of war’ following recent threats, highlighting that the political divide is affecting governance. Meanwhile, The Cable quoted former Governor Orji Kalu, who stated that ‘Governors, not Tinubu, are responsible for tackling insecurity,’ placing the onus of regional stability back on state leadership.

    Echotitbits take: Rivers State’s massive budget reflects its status as an economic powerhouse, but political instability could deter the very investors the state needs. Watch for whether the House of Assembly, currently split by loyalty, provides a smooth passage for this appropriation bill.

    Source: The Punch — https://punchng.com/rivers-executive-council-approves-n1-8tn-2026-budget/
    The Punch January 3, 2026

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • The Gambia’s national university renames its agriculture school after Akinwumi Adesina

    The Gambia’s national university renames its agriculture school after Akinwumi Adesina

    The Gambia’s national university renames its agriculture school after Akinwumi Adesina

    According to Africa Newsroom (via APO Group), the University of The Gambia has renamed its School of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences in honour of Dr. Akinwumi Adesina, citing his long-standing impact on agriculture and development across Africa.

    The move positions the faculty as a symbolic rallying point for food-security research, climate-smart agriculture, and youth-focused agripreneurship—areas that continue to dominate policy conversations across West Africa.

    It also signals a reputational bet: when institutions attach a global development figure’s name to a school, stakeholders expect the standard to rise—through partnerships, research output, and funding.

    Punch also reported the renaming and quoted Adesina’s reaction, including the phrase “deep sense of gratitude.” The Guardian Nigeria similarly confirmed the development, noting the university “renamed its School” in his honour.

    Echotitbits take:
    This is soft power turning into institutional opportunity. Watch for what follows the ceremony—new grants, exchange programmes, and targeted research labs that can turn the name into measurable outcomes.

    Source: The Punch — January 2, 2026 — https://punchng.com/the-gambia-varsity-renames-faculty-after-ex-afdb-president-adesina/
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Eritrea’s workers’ confederation reviews 2025 performance and sets a 2026 action plan

    Eritrea’s workers’ confederation reviews 2025 performance and sets a 2026 action plan

    Eritrea’s workers’ confederation reviews 2025 performance and sets a 2026 action plan

    Figures shared via Shabait and republished through Africa Newsroom indicate Eritrea’s National Confederation of Eritrean Workers (NCEW) held an executive meeting to assess 2025 activities and outline a 2026 plan.

    The update says discussions covered labour relations, external relations, administration and finance, human resources development, and programmes focused on women and youth workers.

    Labour bodies can be early indicators of policy emphasis—especially around productivity, training, dispute resolution, and workforce mobilisation across sectors.

    Shabait said the committee held “extensive discussions” on the plan and priority areas. A Ministry-linked post echoed the same focus areas, including “human resources development” and organisational strengthening.

    Echotitbits take:
    The key is whether targets become measurable. Watch for published benchmarks—training numbers, dispute-resolution metrics, sector programmes, and any link to national productivity or employment campaigns.

    Source: Shabait — January 2, 2026 — https://shabait.com/amp/2026/01/02/ncew-meeting-on-action-plan-for-2026/
    Shabait 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: Shabait

  • Rethinking Nigeria’s Student Loan Scheme: A Call for Strategic Alignment – Tunde Sodade Ph.D

    Nigeria’s recently introduced student loan scheme aims to expand access to higher
    education, reduce economic and financial exclusion, and democratize opportunity.
    While the intention is laudable, the scheme’s design and implementation raise
    concerns about sustainability. Examining the features of the programme reveal some
    structural vulnerabilities that call for some tweaking and reforms.

    The Main Problem: Mismatched Priorities
    The scheme targets the wrong set of students, favoring academic pathways over
    technical and vocational education. This approach ignores labor market demands,
    earnings potential, and Nigeria’s economic needs.

    Key Issues:
    1.⁠ ⁠Loans Are Targeted at the Wrong Set of Students
    The scheme doesn’t distinguish between courses with strong labor-market demand and
    those with weak employability outcomes. This creates a predictable outcome: large
    volumes of debt extended to graduates who’ll struggle to repay.

    2.⁠ ⁠Nigeria’s Economy Would Be Better Served by Prioritizing Technical Education
    Nigeria needs skilled workers, not just degree holders. Technical and vocational
    education and training (TVET) can provide easily absorbed, productive, and employable
    skills. Countries like Germany, South Korea, and Singapore have successfully
    industrialized by prioritizing technical education.

    3.⁠ ⁠Technical Vocations Are Better Suited to Entrepreneurship and Employment
    Absorption
    Technical skills lend themselves to self-employment and small enterprise creation that
    are better suited to the reduction of structural unemployment. A trained technician can
    start a micro-business, absorb informal-sector labor, and serve domestic and regional
    markets more easily than a white collared graduate whose fortunes are limited at
    absorption into a seemingly saturated job market. Saturated because of the increasing
    discordance between academic curricula and actual job market needs.

    4.⁠ ⁠Nigeria Leaks Foreign Exchange on Imported Technical Skills whilst stockpiling
    difficult to assimilate university graduates
    Nigeria imports technical expertise at high forex cost, while exporting the few fit for
    purpose graduates it creates. This results in a significant economic leakage that cannot
    be corrected just by student loan schemes. Currently, our universities are struggling
    with raising the funds needed for the significant capital assets and human resource
    retooling that is required to bring them up to date. Funds that the government alone
    cannot bear. The current structure of the scheme will therefore exacerbate the
    economic imbalances and further systemic inefficiencies.

    5.⁠ ⁠Universities Require Far More Capital to Meet Global Standards
    Nigerian universities need significant investment to achieve global competitiveness.
    Modern laboratories, updated curricula, and robust research infrastructure are capital-
    intensive and slow to yield returns.
    A separate but focused endeavour to tackle this problem must be embarked upon,
    starting with the honest consideration of whether the Federal and State Governments
    should own the reported 70 universities each. 140 institutions offering God knows how
    many courses, that are unlikely to be anywhere near the world standards that Nigeria
    was known for in the 60s, 70s and 80s. At the same time, the 130 odd technical colleges
    lie comatose on aggregate as regards quality of instructors and teaching tools.

    6.⁠ ⁠Collectibility Will Be Severely Constrained by Weak Data and Enforcement Systems
    Nigeria’s loan recovery capacity is weak due to inadequate identity management
    systems, unreliable income data, poor institutional communication links and
    fragmented payroll systems. Without improvement, default rates will be high, and fiscal
    burden will increase.

    7.⁠ ⁠Additional Structural Risks
    Demographic pressures, moral hazard, institutional capture, and macroeconomic
    volatility compound the problem. These factors strain sustainability and are
    destabilizing.

    Recommendations:
    1.⁠ ⁠Prioritize TVET: Focus on technical and vocational education.

    2.⁠ ⁠Link Loans to Employability: Tie loans to labor market demands and earnings
    potential.

    3.⁠ ⁠Strengthen Institutional Capacity: Improve loan recovery mechanisms and improve
    systemic communication efficiencies.

    4.⁠ ⁠Invest in Data and Tracking: Enhance graduate tracking and income verification.
    5.⁠ ⁠Reform University Funding: Explore alternative funding models, seek ownership
    partnerships for universities.

    6. Streamline university courses on offer and consider consolidating university charters.

    7. ⁠Encourage Entrepreneurship: Support technical skills and small enterprise creation.

    8. Track and report data and value details of imported technical skills. Make this front
    and center of national awareness.

    9. Incentivize technical education by diverting more loans and scholarships in this
    direction.

    10. Embark on a national enlightenment campaign that will place more prestige and
    respect on technical education.

    Conclusion
    Nigeria’s student loan scheme requires strategic alignment with economic reality and
    national needs. By addressing these key issues and implementing reforms, we can
    create a sustainable system that benefits students, the economy, and future
    generations.

    A student loan scheme that truly supports Nigeria’s development must address the
    country’s strategic needs, industrialization requirements, enhance the country’s global
    competitiveness and reduce our human resource development vulnerabilities.

    – Tunde Sodade Ph.D

  • Oyo says Bodija intervention N30bn remains untouched while FG balance stays pending

    Oyo says Bodija intervention N30bn remains untouched while FG balance stays pending

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    In an update published by The Nation, the Oyo State Government says the N30bn released by the Federal Government for Bodija explosion intervention remains in a bank account and has not been accessed while it awaits an outstanding N20bn balance.

    The state’s position is that it kept the funds idle pending full release of the approved package, arguing that proceeding without the remaining tranche could complicate sequencing, accountability and delivery planning.

    The statement also sought to counter political claims around the money, pointing to account details and inviting independent verification through the bank where the funds are domiciled.

    Validation: Punch quoted the state’s claim: “As of Thursday, December 31, 2025, the N30bn remained untouched…” The Guardian similarly reported the fund has “remained untouched” while the “outstanding N20 billion balance” is yet to be released.

    Echotitbits take: The bigger governance question is whether states should wait for “full tranches” or publish phased plans and start transparently. Watch for a costed implementation schedule, procurement framework and independent audit plan—those details will matter more than the political noise.

    Source: The Nation — 2026-01-01 (https://thenationonlineng.net/bodija-explosion-n30bn-in-bank-awaiting-n20bn-balance-from-fg-oyo/)
    The Nation 2026-01-01

    Photo Credit: The Nation

  • Manufacturers forecast stronger 2026 output but say policy execution will decide the results

    Manufacturers forecast stronger 2026 output but say policy execution will decide the results

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    According to Punch, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) projects improved output in 2026, with estimates pointing to stronger real growth and a higher contribution to GDP if enabling policies are implemented effectively.

    The report links the optimism to reforms that could stabilise key macro variables, but notes manufacturers remain exposed to structural constraints—energy costs, logistics bottlenecks, and expensive financing.

    Industry voices continue to push for a predictable policy environment and practical support that reduces operating costs, warning that growth projections can be missed if business conditions tighten.

    Validation: Vanguard reported MAN’s forecast and quoted: “Real growth is projected to reach 3.1 percent… contribution… rise to 10.2 percent.” AllAfrica carried CPPE-linked commentary warning that “Nigeria’s manufacturing revival hinges on managing structural risks…”

    Echotitbits take: Manufacturing is one of the fastest routes from ‘GDP growth’ to jobs. Watch Q1 indicators—grid stability vs. self-generation costs, FX predictability for imported inputs, and whether tax reforms reduce friction rather than add new compliance pain.

    Source: The Punch — 2026-01-02 (https://punchng.com/manufacturing-tipped-for-3-1-growth-10-2-gdp-contribution/)
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Regulator says petroleum vessel approvals are faster, with most clearances now under 24 hours

    Regulator says petroleum vessel approvals are faster, with most clearances now under 24 hours

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    In an update published by Punch, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) says it has accelerated petroleum vessel clearance processes, reporting that most approvals are being granted in under 24 hours.

    The regulator presents the change as a throughput push to reduce delays that translate into higher landing costs, demurrage exposure and supply disruptions.

    Industry observers note that clearance speed only becomes meaningful if port-side coordination—terminal readiness, documentation and inspections—matches regulator timelines.

    Validation: MarketForces quoted the regulator’s service-level framing, noting “accelerated approvals and permits under clear service-level agreements.” Extractive360 also reported the same theme and described the push as “accelerating permits under clear service-level timelines.”

    Echotitbits take: If NMDPRA’s clearance gains are consistent, the downstream market benefits via steadier supply and lower friction costs. Watch for published performance data and whether Customs/NPA/terminal operators align—multi-agency alignment is the real test.

    Source: The Punch — 2026-01-02 (https://punchng.com/nmdpra-speeds-up-petroleum-vessel-clearance-processes/)
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: Premium Time

  • CPPE: 2026 stability hinges on sustaining reforms, but manufacturing remains fragile without cost relief

    CPPE: 2026 stability hinges on sustaining reforms, but manufacturing remains fragile without cost relief

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    In an analysis published by The Guardian, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) projects Nigeria could see greater stability and growth in 2026 if reforms are sustained, but cautions that manufacturing remains fragile under persistent structural constraints.

    The analysis highlights how energy, logistics and financing costs continue to weigh on factories, arguing that macro stability alone won’t lift the real sector without targeted execution that reduces operating costs.

    CPPE’s framing is that reform continuity must translate into measurable improvements in business conditions, otherwise growth remains narrow and disconnected from jobs and purchasing power.

    Validation: Vanguard echoed the execution theme, reporting that gains hinge on “effective execution” of incentives and enabling measures. AllAfrica reinforced CPPE’s structural-risk warning and quoted: “Nigeria’s manufacturing revival hinges on managing structural risks…”

    Echotitbits take: Reforms must translate into lower production costs. Watch early-2026 signals—grid stability versus self-generation expense, FX predictability for inputs and whether tax changes simplify compliance rather than create new leak points.

    Source: The Guardian — 2025-12-29 (https://guardian.ng/business-services/cppe-projects-stability-growth-in-2026-with-sustained-reforms/)
    The Guardian 2025-12-29

    Photo Credit: The Guardian

  • CBN outlook: bank recapitalisation may keep markets bullish—but concentration risks loom

    CBN outlook: bank recapitalisation may keep markets bullish—but concentration risks loom

    2026-01-02 06:00:00
    In an update published by Punch, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) projects that Nigeria’s capital market could remain upbeat in 2026, helped by banking-sector recapitalisation, improved investor sentiment and pro‑growth policies.

    The CBN’s broader outlook links market sentiment to macro stability—exchange-rate management, inflation expectations and the credibility of policy signals—suggesting that a cleaner macro picture could support risk appetite.

    But the outlook also flags potential downsides, including investor fatigue if bank capital raises crowd out other issuers.

    The Guardian, referencing the CBN outlook, notes the market is expected to stay “bullish, supported by bank recapitalisation” and rising confidence. In an analysis of recapitalisation dynamics, a separate market brief warns that “despite the bullish momentum, the capital market could face higher concentration risk” as bank issuance dominates.

    Echotitbits take: Recapitalisation can be a turbo‑charge for bank resilience—but it can also soak up liquidity and attention. Watch how quickly banks stagger rights issues/placements, whether pension funds rebalance, and if non‑bank corporates still find room to raise long‑term capital without being priced out.

    Source: The Punch — January 2, 2026 (https://punchng.com/bank-recapitalisation-to-drive-bullish-capital-market-says-cbn/)
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Nigeria bank NPLs jump to about 7% after CBN rolls back COVID-era forbearance

    Nigeria bank NPLs jump to about 7% after CBN rolls back COVID-era forbearance

    2026-01-02 06:00:00
    Figures cited by Punch show Nigeria’s banking sector recorded a rise in non‑performing loans (NPLs) in 2025 after the CBN ended key regulatory forbearance measures introduced during the COVID‑19 period.

    The CBN’s macroeconomic outlook puts the NPL ratio at an estimated 7%, above the 5% prudential limit, raising concerns about asset quality and how quickly lenders can rebalance risk without choking credit.

    Analysts say the shift forces more realistic loss recognition and provisioning, but also increases pressure on earnings and capital—especially for lenders with heavy exposures in vulnerable sectors.

    BusinessDay reports NPLs rose to “an estimated seven percent,” breaching the prudential threshold, following the withdrawal of forbearance. The CBN’s published outlook states the “Non‑performing Loans (NPLs) ratio stood at an estimated 7.00 per cent” relative to the 5% limit.

    Echotitbits take: This is where recapitalisation and risk management collide. If banks tighten too aggressively, SMEs and consumer credit will feel it; if they don’t, provisioning will eat profits. Watch quarterly disclosures for sector-by-sector stress, and whether the CBN introduces targeted transitional guidance.

    Source: The Punch — January 2, 2026 (https://punchng.com/banks-bad-loans-spike-after-cbn-withdraws-forbearance/)
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: The Punch