In an update published by The Guardian, the Director General of the Abuja Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI), Agabaidu Jideani, has projected that Nigeria’s economic expansion this year will be predominantly fueled by non-oil contributions. Jideani noted that while security and political distractions remain significant risks, the momentum gained in sectors like agriculture, technology, and manufacturing late last year provides a solid foundation for ‘guarded optimism’ in the 2026 fiscal cycle.
The ACCI chief highlighted that the stabilization of the Naira, which closed 2025 at approximately ₦1,445–₦1,465 per dollar, is a critical buffer against imported inflation. Furthermore, the 2026 budget’s heavy allocation toward intelligence and counter-terrorism—totaling over ₦5.4 trillion—is viewed as a necessary expenditure to protect the nation’s burgeoning non-oil trade routes from persistent banditry and disruption.
Supporting analysis from Channels TV and Daily Post echoes this economic sentiment. Channels TV reported that ‘CBN’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 57.6 points signals strengthening economic activity,’ while Daily Post featured an economist’s view: ‘The shift away from oil dependency is no longer a choice but a survival strategy for the 2026 budget.’
Echotitbits take: Guarded optimism is the keyword here. While the non-oil sector is growing, it is still vulnerable to the ‘political maneuvering’ Jideani warned about as 2027 election preparations begin. Business owners should watch for how the ₦5.4 trillion security spend translates into actual safety on the Lagos-Kano and Port Harcourt-Enugu trade corridors.
Source: The Guardian – https://guardian.ng/business-services/2026-gdp-growth-projected-at-4-1-amid-non-oil-sector-expansion/ January 5, 2026
Photo Credit: The Guardian