Tag: economic outlook 2026

  • CBN Forecasts 4.49% GDP Growth for 2026 Amid Lower Inflation Targets

    CBN Forecasts 4.49% GDP Growth for 2026 Amid Lower Inflation Targets

    According to The Nation, the Central Bank of Nigeria has projected an optimistic economic outlook for 2026, forecasting a 4.49% growth in Gross Domestic Product. The apex bank also anticipates that inflation will ease significantly, aiming for an average of 12.94% by the end of the year.

    The projections are based on the expected stabilization of the foreign exchange market and an increase in domestic oil production. The CBN believes that the ‘painful but necessary’ reforms of the past two years are finally yielding a foundation for sustainable non-oil sector expansion.

    This optimism is shared by the World Bank, which recently gave a ‘positive verdict on Nigeria’s economic growth trajectory,’ citing three years of unbroken growth. Furthermore, The Guardian reported that AI integration in the financial sector will ‘revolutionize risk pricing and personalized liquidity management,’ further supporting the CBN’s modernization goals.

    Echotitbits take: Achieving sub-13% inflation from the highs of 2024–2025 is an ambitious target. Watch for the CBN to maintain high interest rates well into mid-2026 to ensure this disinflationary trend isn’t disrupted by election-cycle spending or supply shocks.

    Source: The Guardian — https://guardian.ng/business-services/cbn-projects-4-49-growth-lower-inflation-in-2026-outlook/
    The Guardian January 3, 2026

    Photo Credit: The Guardian

  • Manufacturers forecast stronger 2026 output but say policy execution will decide the results

    Manufacturers forecast stronger 2026 output but say policy execution will decide the results

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    According to Punch, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) projects improved output in 2026, with estimates pointing to stronger real growth and a higher contribution to GDP if enabling policies are implemented effectively.

    The report links the optimism to reforms that could stabilise key macro variables, but notes manufacturers remain exposed to structural constraints—energy costs, logistics bottlenecks, and expensive financing.

    Industry voices continue to push for a predictable policy environment and practical support that reduces operating costs, warning that growth projections can be missed if business conditions tighten.

    Validation: Vanguard reported MAN’s forecast and quoted: “Real growth is projected to reach 3.1 percent… contribution… rise to 10.2 percent.” AllAfrica carried CPPE-linked commentary warning that “Nigeria’s manufacturing revival hinges on managing structural risks…”

    Echotitbits take: Manufacturing is one of the fastest routes from ‘GDP growth’ to jobs. Watch Q1 indicators—grid stability vs. self-generation costs, FX predictability for imported inputs, and whether tax reforms reduce friction rather than add new compliance pain.

    Source: The Punch — 2026-01-02 (https://punchng.com/manufacturing-tipped-for-3-1-growth-10-2-gdp-contribution/)
    The Punch 2026-01-02

    Photo Credit: The Punch