Echotitbits – Nigeria News

Tag: economic reforms

  • Nigeria Projected to Reach 5.5% GDP Growth as Economic Reforms Gain Traction

    Nigeria Projected to Reach 5.5% GDP Growth as Economic Reforms Gain Traction

    According to reporting by The Nation Newspaper, the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) has released a bullish forecast for the 2026 fiscal year, predicting a 5.5% expansion in the nation’s Gross Domestic Product. The group attributes this optimistic outlook to the maturation of bold policy shifts, including the stabilization of the foreign exchange market and a steady decline in headline inflation. This projection suggests that the “crisis conditions” which characterized the previous two years are finally giving way to a more sustainable growth trajectory.

    The NESG’s assessment emphasizes that while the macroeconomic indicators are turning green, the government must prioritize the institutionalization of these reforms to ensure they translate into tangible improvements in the welfare of citizens. The report highlights that the private sector is regaining confidence, which is expected to drive investment in critical sectors like manufacturing and agriculture throughout the year.

    Validation of this positive trend is found in reports from Vanguard News and S&P Global. Vanguard notes that PwC experts also see a brightening outlook for 2026, though they caution that “the gains remain fragile and highly exposed to oil market volatility.” Meanwhile, S&P Global’s latest analysis supports the growth narrative, stating, “We forecast Nigeria’s real GDP growth will average 3.7% to 5.5% over 2025-2026, supported by both the non-oil and oil sectors.”

    Echotitbits take: The 5.5% growth target is ambitious but achievable if the current exchange rate stability holds. However, the disconnect between GDP growth and the cost of living remains a significant political risk for the administration. Watch for the Q1 2026 productivity data to see if the manufacturing sector actually picks up the slack as predicted.

    Source: The Punch – https://punchng.com/impi-projects-nigerias-gdp-to-hit-5-5/ , February 3, 2026

    Photo credit: The Punch

  • National VAT Collections Hit Record N8.61 Trillion as Tax Reforms Yield Fruit

    National VAT Collections Hit Record N8.61 Trillion as Tax Reforms Yield Fruit

    Figures cited by The Punch show that Nigeria’s Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue experienced a historic surge, reaching N8.61 trillion for the 2025 fiscal year. This performance, reported on February 1st, 2026, is being attributed to the aggressive automation of tax collection systems and the broadening of the tax base to include more informal sector participants and digital service providers.

    In a report by The Sun, the Chairman of the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, Taiwo Oyedele, noted that the focus has shifted from increasing tax rates to improving the efficiency of collection. “The 2025 figures are a testament to what happens when you simplify the tax code and eliminate multiple levies that previously stifled small businesses,” Oyedele was quoted as saying.

    According to Vanguard News, the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) has surpassed its revised targets, providing the government with much-needed fiscal space to service debts and fund infrastructure. The report quoted a financial analyst who stated: “While the revenue growth is impressive, the government must now ensure that these funds are transparently utilized to mitigate the impact of inflation on the average citizen.”

    Echotitbits take: This taxation milestone suggests that the government’s fiscal reforms are finally gaining traction. For businesses, the “tax harmonization” agenda is the real story to watch; if the government successfully collapses hundreds of taxes into a few single digits, it could trigger a significant boom in the SME sector by 2027.

    Source: The Punch – https://punchng.com/vat-collections-surged-to-n8-61tn-in-2025/, February 1, 2026

    Photo credit: The Punch

  • CBN projects faster growth and stronger reserves in 2026 as inflation eases

    CBN projects faster growth and stronger reserves in 2026 as inflation eases

    According to Premium Times, the CBN’s 2026 macro outlook projects faster economic expansion alongside further inflation moderation and stronger external buffers.

    The baseline assumes reform momentum continues—supporting business confidence, improving FX market credibility, and lifting investment planning if volatility stays contained.

    On prices, the outlook points to headline inflation easing further in 2026 as food and energy pressures cool and supply conditions improve, though risks remain from oil-output shocks and fiscal slippages.

    CBN also sketches a fiscal picture that still requires revenue reforms and expenditure discipline to avoid renewed macro stress.

    Vanguard reported the central bank forecast includes “a 4.49 per cent growth in GDP” and external reserves rising to “$51.04 billion.” Leadership similarly highlighted that CBN “forecasts $51bn external reserves in 2026.”

    Echotitbits take: This is cautious optimism, not a victory lap. Watch oil output, FX liquidity, and whether fiscal discipline holds—those will decide if the forecast becomes reality.

    Source: Premium Times – https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/846528-nigerian-economy-expected-to-grow-4-49-in-2026-inflation-to-ease-cbn.html December 30, 2025
    Premium Times December 30, 2025

    Photo Credit: Premium Times

  • Economic Expert Projects 4% GDP Growth for 2026 Under Reform Gains

    Economic Expert Projects 4% GDP Growth for 2026 Under Reform Gains

    Figures cited by The Nation suggest Nigeria could record up to about 4%–4.5% GDP growth in 2026 if ongoing reforms are sustained, according to Dr. Muda Yusuf, CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE).

    Yusuf cautioned that structural bottlenecks still constrain productivity and warned that overly optimistic revenue assumptions in the 2026 budget could weaken implementation if oil price volatility persists.

    ThisDay and Daily Post also reported the forecast and highlighted Yusuf’s emphasis that growth must translate into jobs, especially as household spending pressures remain high even with signs of moderating inflation.

    Echotitbits take: 4% growth is respectable, but Nigeria’s real test is whether reforms deliver broad employment and higher productivity. Watch quarterly GDP data for stronger contributions from manufacturing and agriculture—not just services.

    Source: ThePunch – https://punchng.com/sustained-reforms-can-push-nigerias-gdp-to-4-in-2026-expert/ 2026-01-07

    Photo Credit: ThePunch

  • 2026 Budget Aimed at Locking in Economic Reform Gains, Minister Says

    2026 Budget Aimed at Locking in Economic Reform Gains, Minister Says

    According to The Nation reporting on January 6, 2026, Information and National Orientation Minister Mohammed Idris has clarified that the federal government’s current fiscal plan is designed specifically to cement the benefits of ongoing structural reforms. The Minister highlighted that the ‘Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity’ represents a commitment to double down on effective policies while ensuring that improved economic indicators—such as easing inflation and strengthened external reserves—translate into tangible benefits for citizens. Idris acknowledged the hardships faced by Nigerians over the past 31 months but maintained that the difficult decisions were necessary to end long-standing stagnation. He emphasized that recent expansions in business activity and improved investor confidence serve as the foundation for lasting national improvement. The fiscal strategy has been validated by other major outlets including Vanguard and The Punch. According to Vanguard, the budget focuses on ‘strengthening the economy, boosting jobs, and infrastructure.’ In a parallel report, The Punch noted the government’s stance that the ‘2026 budget to strengthen economy, boost jobs, infrastructure – FG’ is a pivotal move for the current administration.

    Echotitbits take: This move signals the government’s shift from ‘survival mode’ to ‘consolidation mode.’ By focusing on infrastructure and job creation in the 2026 cycle, the Tinubu administration is attempting to lower the high cost of living before the next electoral cycle gains full momentum. Watch for how the National Assembly prioritizes capital expenditure in the coming weeks.

    Source: ThePunch – https://punchng.com/2026-budget-to-consolidate-tinubus-reform-gains-minister/ January 6 2026

    Photo Credit: ThePunch

  • Non-Oil Sector Projected to Drive Nigerian Economic Growth in 2026

    Non-Oil Sector Projected to Drive Nigerian Economic Growth in 2026

    In an update published by The Guardian, the Director General of the Abuja Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI), Agabaidu Jideani, has projected that Nigeria’s economic expansion this year will be predominantly fueled by non-oil contributions. Jideani noted that while security and political distractions remain significant risks, the momentum gained in sectors like agriculture, technology, and manufacturing late last year provides a solid foundation for ‘guarded optimism’ in the 2026 fiscal cycle.

    The ACCI chief highlighted that the stabilization of the Naira, which closed 2025 at approximately ₦1,445–₦1,465 per dollar, is a critical buffer against imported inflation. Furthermore, the 2026 budget’s heavy allocation toward intelligence and counter-terrorism—totaling over ₦5.4 trillion—is viewed as a necessary expenditure to protect the nation’s burgeoning non-oil trade routes from persistent banditry and disruption.

    Supporting analysis from Channels TV and Daily Post echoes this economic sentiment. Channels TV reported that ‘CBN’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 57.6 points signals strengthening economic activity,’ while Daily Post featured an economist’s view: ‘The shift away from oil dependency is no longer a choice but a survival strategy for the 2026 budget.’

    Echotitbits take: Guarded optimism is the keyword here. While the non-oil sector is growing, it is still vulnerable to the ‘political maneuvering’ Jideani warned about as 2027 election preparations begin. Business owners should watch for how the ₦5.4 trillion security spend translates into actual safety on the Lagos-Kano and Port Harcourt-Enugu trade corridors.
    Source: The Guardian – https://guardian.ng/business-services/2026-gdp-growth-projected-at-4-1-amid-non-oil-sector-expansion/ January 5, 2026

    Photo Credit: The Guardian

  • Tinubu insists new national tax laws start January 1 despite calls for delay over “gazette” dispute

    Tinubu insists new national tax laws start January 1 despite calls for delay over “gazette” dispute

    2026-01-02 09:00:00
    In a report filed by Reuters, President Bola Tinubu said Nigeria will proceed with implementing new tax laws from January 1, 2026, despite criticism and calls for delay tied to disputes over the gazetted text versus what lawmakers passed.

    The dispatch notes that opponents have alleged unauthorized insertions and warned about expanded enforcement powers, while the presidency argued there was no substantial issue that should pause the reforms and described the change as a major fiscal reset.

    The controversy is unfolding alongside broader reforms, with the government leaning on a tax overhaul as a revenue and efficiency lever.

    Validation: TheCable reported legislative voices urging suspension until allegations are resolved, noting the rollout is “scheduled to begin in January.” Reuters quoted Tinubu’s framing of the reform as a “once-in-a-generation” fiscal reset.

    Echotitbits take: The reform will be judged by whether it reduces friction (harmonisation, clarity, lower compliance pain) or becomes an enforcement brawl. Watch the implementation guidelines, dispute-resolution mechanics and whether businesses see predictable rules rather than surprise powers.

    Source: Reuters — 2025-12-30 (https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/nigeria-implement-new-tax-laws-january-1-despite-calls-delay-tinubu-says-2025-12-30/)
    Reuters 2025-12-30

    Photo Credit: Reuters

  • CBN flags 2026 growth at 4.49%, expects inflation slide to 12.94%

    CBN flags 2026 growth at 4.49%, expects inflation slide to 12.94%

    2025-12-31 09:00:00

    According to The Nation, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s latest macro outlook projects real GDP growth of about 4.49% in 2026, while average inflation is expected to ease to roughly 12.94% as reforms, forex stability and improved output begin to bite.

    The outlook points to a mix of stronger non‑oil activity and a steadier external position, with the apex bank signalling that structural reforms and better macro coordination could support a more durable recovery.

    Markets will watch whether the assumptions—especially oil output and FX conditions—hold into Q1 2026, and how the forecast shapes monetary-policy expectations.

    Reuters also reported that the CBN “forecasts 4.49% economic growth” and sees inflation “easing to an average 12.94% in 2026,” while BusinessDay similarly wrote that Nigeria’s economy is “projected to expand by 4.49 percent in 2026.”

    Echotitbits take: The headline numbers look optimistic versus Nigeria’s recent inflation experience. The real test is whether disinflation is driven by supply (food, logistics, energy) and FX stability—not just base effects. Watch Q1 inflation prints and CBN messaging on rates/liquidity.

    Source: Guardian — December 31, 2025 (https://guardian.ng/business-services/cbn-projects-4-49-growth-lower-inflation-in-2026-outlook/)

    Guardian December 31, 2025

    Photo Credit: Guardian

  • Nigeria to unveil ‘Nigeria House’ at WEF 2026 as an investment-facing pavilion

    Nigeria to unveil ‘Nigeria House’ at WEF 2026 as an investment-facing pavilion

    2025-12-29 09:00:00
    Reporting by Punch indicates Nigeria plans to debut “Nigeria House” at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos, positioning it as a structured venue for showcasing reforms and engaging investors beyond symbolic attendance.

    BusinessDay describes it as a dedicated hub intended to convene senior officials, global CEOs and institutional capital, with an emphasis on deal-making and post-forum commitments.

    The concept mirrors what many countries already do in Davos—create a controlled space for targeted meetings, pitching and narrative management, where success is measured by pipeline conversion, not footfall.

    Nigeria House Davos describes itself as “an official national platform at the World Economic Forum 2026,” while BusinessDay frames it as translating global interest into “real economic outcomes.”

    Echotitbits take: A Davos pavilion is useful only if it has follow-through. Watch for a published investment pipeline, sector-specific pitches, and a post-WEF tracker showing what converted into signed deals or funded projects.

    Source: The Punch — December 29, 2025 (https://punchng.com/nigeria-house-debuts-at-wef-2026/)
    The Punch 2025-12-29

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Presidency dismisses calls to pause new tax reforms as political backlash grows

    Presidency dismisses calls to pause new tax reforms as political backlash grows

    Photo Credit: The Punch

    2025-12-18 05:55:00

    Reporting by The Punch indicates the Presidency has rejected demands to suspend Nigeria’s newly signed tax reform laws, insisting implementation will proceed from January 1, 2026.

    Officials argue the reforms are meant to simplify compliance, reduce overlapping taxes, and modernise revenue collection. Critics, however, warn the changes could worsen hardship if rollout is rushed or unclear.

    The debate has intensified amid claims by some lawmakers that the gazetted copies differ from what the National Assembly approved—an allegation that could raise legal questions and slow compliance.

    Premium Times reported Speaker Tajudeen Abbas announced an ad hoc committee, stating, “I’m happy to announce to you that the following members have been appointed to the committee.” Vanguard also quoted a lawmaker complaining, “I was here, I gave my vote and it was counted, and I am seeing something completely different.”

    Echotitbits take:
    The policy risk is less about headlines and more about trust: investors and taxpayers need certainty on the final text. Watch for certified copies, a clear implementation guide, and whether the legislature confirms (or disputes) the gazetted versions before take-off.

    Source: The Punch — December 18, 2025 (https://punchng.com/fresh-storm-brews-over-new-tax-law/)
    The Punch 2025-12-18