Echotitbits – Nigeria News

Tag: exchange rate

  • Naira Hits Two-Year High as CBN Resumes Dollar Sales to BDC Operators

    Naira Hits Two-Year High as CBN Resumes Dollar Sales to BDC Operators

    Figures cited by Vanguard show that the Nigerian Naira has reached its strongest position against the US Dollar in over two years, trading near the 1,351 mark in the official market on Thursday. This significant appreciation is largely attributed to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) recent policy shift, which reopened the “dollar tap” for licensed Bureau De Change (BDC) operators. By allowing BDCs to purchase up to $150,000 weekly, the apex bank has effectively saturated the retail segment with much-needed liquidity.

    The ripple effect of this intervention has been felt across major commercial hubs like Lagos and Abuja, where the parallel market rate has stabilized between 1,430 and 1,440. Market analysts suggest that the direct involvement of BDCs in the official window has curbed the speculative demand that previously drove the “black market” to record lows. The increased transparency in price discovery is now allowing for more predictable business transactions for small-scale importers and travelers.

    Despite the positive momentum, a spread of approximately 90 Naira still exists between the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) and the street rate. However, the CBN’s strategy of consistent weekly auctions appears to be working to narrow this gap. Financial experts are optimistic that if this supply remains steady, the Naira could sustain its gains throughout the first quarter of 2026.

    In support of these findings, The Nation observed that “the influx of forex has calmed the nerves of manufacturers who were previously struggling to source dollars.” Furthermore, BusinessDay confirmed the trend, quoting a currency dealer who said, “The frantic demand we saw in December has evaporated because people can now get FX through official channels.”

    Echotitbits take: The CBN’s return to BDC interventions is a pragmatic move to control the retail forex market. While the appreciation is a win for importers, the sustainability of this trend depends on Nigeria’s oil production levels and foreign reserve health. Keep an eye on the next MPC meeting for hints on interest rate adjustments to complement this FX stability.

    Source: Daily Post – https://dailypost.ng/2026/02/11/naira-continues-to-appreciate-against-us-dollar-as-cbn-directs-fx-sales-to-bdcs/, February 12, 2026

    Photo credit: Daily Post

  • Nigeria’s External Reserves Hit $46.91bn as Naira Closes at N1,366.19

    Nigeria’s External Reserves Hit $46.91bn as Naira Closes at N1,366.19

    According to Daily Post reporting, the Nigerian Naira concluded the week at N1,366.19 against the US Dollar at the official foreign exchange market, marking a slight daily depreciation from its previous standing. Despite this minor dip, the nation’s economic outlook remains bolstered by a significant surge in external reserves, which have now climbed to $46.91 billion as of early February 2026.

    The local currency’s performance showed resilience on a week-on-week basis, gaining approximately N20.36 at the official window. Meanwhile, the parallel market—often referred to as the black market—saw the Naira ending the week with a notable N10 gain, settling at a rate of N1,450 per dollar. This convergence of rates is seen as a positive sign of stabilizing liquidity within the financial system.

    Market analysts note that the steady accumulation of foreign reserves provides the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) with a stronger buffer to manage exchange rate volatility. This development was further validated by The Punch, which noted that “the robust reserve level is a testament to improved crude oil receipts and tighter fiscal controls,” while Vanguard added that “the stability in the FX market is increasingly attracting the interest of offshore portfolio investors.”

    Echotitbits take: The climb to $46.91bn in reserves is a major milestone for the Tinubu administration’s economic team. It suggests that the aggressive monetary tightening and FX reforms are finally yielding a “liquidity cushion.” Watch for whether the CBN will use this surplus to intervene more frequently in the retail end of the market to further close the gap between official and parallel rates.

    Source: Daily Post – https://dailypost.ng/2026/02/07/naira-closes-week-at-n1366-19-per-dollar-as-nigerias-external-reserves-hit-46-91bn/, February 7, 2026

    Photo credit: Daily Post

  • Naira Gains in Official Market as CBN Interventions Boost Liquidity

    Naira Gains in Official Market as CBN Interventions Boost Liquidity

    The Nigerian naira opened the final week of January 2026 with modest gains against the US dollar in the official market, following reported Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) interventions and improved foreign exchange liquidity.

    Market watchers say the spread between official and parallel market rates continues to narrow, a trend linked to recent efforts to attract foreign portfolio inflows and stabilize the currency. For import-reliant businesses, even incremental stability can ease cost planning and reduce pass-through inflation on raw materials.

    The CBN is expected to remain cautious, maintaining a tight monetary stance as inflation risks persist. Separate market reporting also characterized the gains as liquidity-driven, reinforcing the view that policy signaling and FX supply conditions will be decisive through Q1.

    Echotitbits take: Currency stability is the Holy Grail for the current economic team. If the Naira stays within this range, we might see a more significant drop in the cost of imported raw materials by the second quarter.
    Source: BusinessDay – https://businessday.ng/business-economy/article/naira-records-0-8-year-to-date-gain-as-reserves-grow-further/ 2026-01-26

    Photo Credit: BusinessDay

  • Local Currency Firms Up Against Dollar in Early 2026 Trading

    Local Currency Firms Up Against Dollar in Early 2026 Trading

    Local Currency Firms Up Against Dollar in Early 2026 Trading

    Figures cited by Vanguard show that the Nigerian Naira began the third week of January on a strong note, appreciating to approximately 1,418 per dollar in the official market. The move has been attributed to increased liquidity in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) and a drop in speculative demand. Analysts say the Central Bank’s efforts to clear outstanding obligations have restored some confidence among corporate buyers.

    In the parallel market, the currency also showed resilience, trading between 1,470 and 1,485 per dollar. Market watchers point out that the gap between official and street rates is narrowing—an objective of current monetary policy. Bureau De Change operators say typical New Year volatility has been tempered by a steady flow of diaspora remittances and improved oversight.

    The Guardian also reported that rate convergence is a positive signal for international investors. ThisDay quoted a financial analyst saying that improved transparency is contributing to market stability. The market remains optimistic that the Naira can hold its trajectory through the first quarter.

    Echotitbits take: Stability is the keyword. While 1,400+ remains a high level, reduced daily swings help businesses plan. The true stress-test will be sustaining liquidity without undue pressure on external reserves.

    Source: Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/south-african-rand-firmer-ahead-local-inflation-data-2026-01-21/ (2026-01-23)

    Photo Credit: Reuters 2026-01-23

  • CBN Projection Puts Petrol Around N950/Litre, Raising Fresh Inflation Concerns

    CBN Projection Puts Petrol Around N950/Litre, Raising Fresh Inflation Concerns

    According to Vanguard, a CBN-linked macro projection suggests petrol could average around N950 per litre, reflecting a model-driven outlook shaped by exchange rates and supply costs. (more…)

  • Naira Dips Slightly as Foreign Reserves Rise to $45.6 Billion

    Naira Dips Slightly as Foreign Reserves Rise to $45.6 Billion

    Figures cited by Daily Post show the naira recorded a mild dip at the official market, trading around ₦1,419.72 per dollar after a strong early-year run. The move marked the currency’s first reported depreciation of 2026.

    At the same time, the Central Bank of Nigeria said foreign reserves continued to rise, reaching about $45.64 billion, suggesting a strategy of building liquidity buffers rather than heavy immediate market intervention.

    The parallel market was also reported to have softened slightly. Analysts cited seasonal Q1 import demand and post-holiday business activity as factors behind short-term volatility.

    Vanguard and Leadership carried related market commentary, including calls to watch CBN liquidity actions and policy signals.

    Echotitbits take: A small dip isn’t panic territory. Rising reserves give the CBN more room to stabilize markets if pressure builds—watch policy signals at the next MPC meeting.

    Source: Daily Post – https://dailypost.ng/2026/01/02/naira-records-n100-appreciation-against-dollar-foreign-reserves-rise-to-45-5bn-in-2025/ 2026-01-09

    Photo Credit: Daily Post

  • Parallel Market Pressure Deepens as Naira Slides to ₦1,490 per Dollar

    Parallel Market Pressure Deepens as Naira Slides to ₦1,490 per Dollar

    According to Vanguard, the naira came under fresh pressure in the parallel market on Thursday, weakening to about ₦1,490/$—down from roughly ₦1,470/$ earlier in the week.

    Figures from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) also showed a mild softening in the official close, moving from about ₦1,416/$ to ₦1,421/$, widening the spread between official and street rates.

    Market watchers linked the renewed volatility to seasonal FX demand and speculative positioning, even as the central bank has continued to signal optimism around reserve buildup and longer-term convergence.

    **Echotitbits take:** The persistent gap between official and parallel rates remains a key credibility test for FX reforms. If liquidity at the retail end stays tight, expect more pressure on prices and confidence—watch closely for the CBN’s next market-facing intervention.
    Source: Guardian — https://guardian.ng/business-services/naira-eyes-n1300-at-parallel-market-as-speculators-offload-fx/ 2026-01-08

    Photo Credit: Guardian

  • Naira Opens 2026 With Strong Gains as Reform Confidence Grows

    Naira Opens 2026 With Strong Gains as Reform Confidence Grows

    Figures cited by Daily Post show that the Nigerian Naira began the 2026 trading year on a positive note, appreciating to N1,430.84 against the U.S. dollar in the official market. This represents a 0.34% gain compared to the closing rate of N1,435.75 recorded on December 31, 2025.

    The currency’s performance is being linked to renewed investor confidence following the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) aggressive monetary tightening and structural reforms in the foreign exchange market. Market analysts suggest that the stability seen in the opening days of the year could signal a less volatile period for the local currency.

    In its first trading assessment of the year, BusinessDay noted that the ‘Naira extends rally in first trading day of 2026,’ as supply liquidity showed signs of improvement. Meanwhile, The Nation reported that the apex bank is betting on ‘structural changes in oil, tax, and foreign exchange markets to sustain growth and disinflation’ throughout the fiscal year.

    Echotitbits take: This early gain is a psychological victory for the CBN’s ‘orthodox’ monetary policy. If the bank can maintain this trajectory without depleting reserves too quickly, we may see a gradual convergence between the official and parallel market rates by the second quarter.

    Source: Nigeria Housing Market — https://www.nigeriahousingmarket.com/news/naira-outlook-2026-analysts-project-stronger-fx-stability-as-fundamentals-improve
    Nigeria Housing Market January 3, 2026

    Photo Credit: Nigeria Housing Market

  • Budget pressure: FG projects ₦60.97tn oil revenue for 2026 on tighter assumptions

    Budget pressure: FG projects ₦60.97tn oil revenue for 2026 on tighter assumptions

    Photo credit: The Punch

    2025-12-22 09:00:00

    An analysis published by *The Punch* says the Federal Government is projecting about ₦60.97 trillion in oil revenue for 2026—lower than the prior year’s expected oil take—reflecting more cautious assumptions on price and output.

    The projection is tied to the 2026 Appropriation framework and the administration’s budget posture, where debt service, capital expenditure, and security spending are competing heavily for limited revenues.

    Analysts note that oil revenue forecasts are especially sensitive to production disruptions, theft, and global price swings—meaning fiscal planning can change quickly if any variable moves.

    The broader implication is clear: if oil underperforms, the pressure shifts to non-oil revenues, borrowing, and reforms—each with political and economic trade-offs.

    Reuters reported the budget assumes “a crude oil price of $64.85 per barrel” with output around “1.84 million barrels per day,” while *The Guardian (Nigeria)* similarly stated the plan is built on a “$64.85 per barrel oil benchmark” and “1.84 million barrels per day” production assumption.

    **Echotitbits take:** Conservative oil assumptions are good discipline—but only if the government actually delivers non-oil revenue growth. Watch for tax admin upgrades, customs efficiency, and whether production targets improve without new leakage.

    Source: The Punch — December 22, 2025 (https://punchng.com/fg-projects-lower-n60-97tn-oil-revenue-for-2026/)

  • Senate backs ₦54.46trn 2026 spending framework, cuts oil price benchmark to $60

    Senate backs ₦54.46trn 2026 spending framework, cuts oil price benchmark to $60

    Photo Credit: Punch
    2025-12-16

    Lawmakers in the Senate have approved the 2026–2028 medium‑term expenditure and fiscal strategy framework, endorsing a ₦54.46 trillion 2026 spending plan and lowering the crude oil benchmark for 2026 to $60 per barrel.

    According to reports on the debate, the lower benchmark reflects caution about global oil volatility, even as output assumptions remain aggressive. The framework also keeps key macro assumptions such as the exchange‑rate projection and multi‑year inflation and growth targets.

    The decisions matter because they set the ‘envelope’ for the 2026 budget — shaping how much government can borrow, what it can spend on capital projects, and how it prioritises debt servicing and social spending.

    Markets will be watching whether the conservative oil price assumption reduces revenue disappointment — and whether reforms, including tax administration changes, can realistically close the gap between projections and collections.

    BusinessDay: Musa said the adjustment was necessary “in recognition of the global geopolitical tensions in Europe and the Middle East and the sensitivity of global crude oil prices.”

    THISDAY: “A key decision was the downward review of the crude oil benchmark price for 2026 from $64.85 per barrel to $60.”

    Analysis/Echotitbits take: A lower oil benchmark can improve budget credibility — but only if production and revenue assumptions aren’t over‑optimistic. Watch the final budget draft, borrowing plans, and how the government hedges against oil‑price and FX shocks.

    Source: Punch — December 17, 2025 — https://punchng.com/senate-lowers-oil-benchmark-approves-n54-46tn-budget/