Tag: Nigeria economy

  • Nigeria Posts ₦12 Trillion Trade Surplus as Non-Oil Exports Jump

    Nigeria Posts ₦12 Trillion Trade Surplus as Non-Oil Exports Jump

    Data released by Vanguard indicates Nigeria recorded a historic ₦12 trillion trade surplus in 2025, driven in part by a reported 21% rise in non-oil exports.

    Officials attributed the improvement to stronger performance in agriculture, processed solid minerals and select manufactured goods, positioning the outcome as a milestone for diversification.

    The stronger trade position is also expected to ease some FX pressure, though the broader macro outlook still depends on inflation and investment flows.

    **Echotitbits take:** The surplus is encouraging, but the public will measure success by jobs and cheaper goods. Watch for export incentives, port efficiency reforms and logistics upgrades that can keep non-oil growth durable.
    Source: Vanguard — https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2026/01/nigeria-records-n12trn-trade-surplus-21-non-oil-export-growth-in-h1-2025-trade-ministry/amp/ 2026-01-08

    Photo Credit: Vanguard

  • Parallel Market Pressure Deepens as Naira Slides to ₦1,490 per Dollar

    Parallel Market Pressure Deepens as Naira Slides to ₦1,490 per Dollar

    According to Vanguard, the naira came under fresh pressure in the parallel market on Thursday, weakening to about ₦1,490/$—down from roughly ₦1,470/$ earlier in the week.

    Figures from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) also showed a mild softening in the official close, moving from about ₦1,416/$ to ₦1,421/$, widening the spread between official and street rates.

    Market watchers linked the renewed volatility to seasonal FX demand and speculative positioning, even as the central bank has continued to signal optimism around reserve buildup and longer-term convergence.

    **Echotitbits take:** The persistent gap between official and parallel rates remains a key credibility test for FX reforms. If liquidity at the retail end stays tight, expect more pressure on prices and confidence—watch closely for the CBN’s next market-facing intervention.
    Source: Guardian — https://guardian.ng/business-services/naira-eyes-n1300-at-parallel-market-as-speculators-offload-fx/ 2026-01-08

    Photo Credit: Guardian

  • Economic Expert Projects 4% GDP Growth for 2026 Under Reform Gains

    Economic Expert Projects 4% GDP Growth for 2026 Under Reform Gains

    Figures cited by The Nation suggest Nigeria could record up to about 4%–4.5% GDP growth in 2026 if ongoing reforms are sustained, according to Dr. Muda Yusuf, CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE).

    Yusuf cautioned that structural bottlenecks still constrain productivity and warned that overly optimistic revenue assumptions in the 2026 budget could weaken implementation if oil price volatility persists.

    ThisDay and Daily Post also reported the forecast and highlighted Yusuf’s emphasis that growth must translate into jobs, especially as household spending pressures remain high even with signs of moderating inflation.

    Echotitbits take: 4% growth is respectable, but Nigeria’s real test is whether reforms deliver broad employment and higher productivity. Watch quarterly GDP data for stronger contributions from manufacturing and agriculture—not just services.

    Source: ThePunch – https://punchng.com/sustained-reforms-can-push-nigerias-gdp-to-4-in-2026-expert/ 2026-01-07

    Photo Credit: ThePunch

  • Nigeria construction output hits ₦13.83tn as activity strengthens on investor confidence

    Nigeria construction output hits ₦13.83tn as activity strengthens on investor confidence

    Figures cited by Punch show Nigeria’s construction sector produced ₦13.83tn in nominal output over the first nine months of 2025, pointing to a rebound in activity.

    Analysts tie the momentum to improved sentiment and project execution, though material costs, FX exposure, and logistics remain major constraints on margins and delivery timelines.

    Construction performance often signals wider economic spillovers—jobs, cement demand, and infrastructure effects that feed into manufacturing and services.

    Echotitbits take: The rebound is real, but durability depends on financing depth and stable input costs. Watch for Q4 prints, whether mortgage/real-estate credit expands, and how quickly major public works translate into verifiable on-ground output.

    Source: The Punch — January 4, 2026 (https://punchng.com/investor-confidence-lifts-construction-output-to-n13-83tn/#google_vignette)

    The Punch January 4, 2026

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Senator says subsidy removal saves Nigeria ₦10tn yearly, urges patience with reforms

    Senator says subsidy removal saves Nigeria ₦10tn yearly, urges patience with reforms

    Figures cited by Punch show Ogun West senator Solomon Adeola says removing petrol subsidy is saving Nigeria over ₦10tn annually, arguing the funds can support economic predictability and infrastructure.

    Adeola also defended tax-law implementation, insisting the versions being rolled out align  what lawmakers passed and were not altered after signing.

    The remarks reflect the government’s broader reform narrative—short-term pain for medium-term fiscal stability—though citizens continue to weigh claims against lived inflation pressures.

    Echotitbits take: The savings claim will be tested by transparency: where exactly does the money go, and can Nigerians see it in services and inflation relief? Watch for audited baselines, monthly fiscal reporting, and how palliatives/infrastructure spending track against ‘savings’ narratives.

    Source: The Punch — January 3, 2026 (https://punchng.com/subsidy-removal-saving-nigeria-over-n10tn-annually-adeola/)

    The Punch January 3, 2026

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • Tinubu says 2026 begins a “more robust phase” for Nigeria’s economic growth

    Tinubu says 2026 begins a “more robust phase” for Nigeria’s economic growth

    2026-01-01 07:35:00
    According to Vanguard, President Bola Tinubu said 2026 would mark the beginning of a more robust phase of economic growth as reforms mature.

    The messaging positions recent macro decisions—subsidy removal, FX changes, and fiscal tightening—as a bridge from instability toward higher growth and investor confidence.

    Household pressure points—prices, jobs and purchasing power—remain the practical scorecard for whether the optimism resonates.

    Punch also framed the outlook as Tinubu pledging a “strong economic rebound.”

    The Guardian Nigeria similarly carried the “more robust phase of economic growth” line in its reporting of the New Year message.

    Echotitbits take:

    The market will judge by outcomes: inflation direction, FX stability, real wages, and whether power/transport constraints ease. Watch Q1 indicators and whether policy consistency holds under social pressure.

    Source: Guardian — January 1, 2026 (https://guardian.ng/politics/full-text-2026-marks-start-of-more-robust-economic-growth-says-tinubu-in-new-year-message/)

    Guardian 2026-01-01

    Photo Credit: Guardian

  • Court declines bid to halt Nigeria’s new tax laws, keeps January 1 rollout intact

    Court declines bid to halt Nigeria’s new tax laws, keeps January 1 rollout intact

    2026-01-01 07:10:00
    Reporting by Vanguard indicates an FCT High Court refused to restrain the Federal Government from proceeding with the January 1 implementation timeline for Nigeria’s new tax laws.

    The suit sought an urgent stop order via an ex-parte request, but the court declined, allowing implementation to proceed while substantive issues remain pending.

    The decision lands amid public controversy over the reforms, including claims of discrepancies between passed and gazetted versions.

    Reuters separately quoted President Tinubu calling the reforms a “once-in-a-generation” reset and stating “No substantial issue has been established” to justify halting implementation.

    Daily Post Nigeria also reported the presidency has “dismissed claims of discrepancies” in the new laws.

    Echotitbits take:

    For businesses, the immediate risk is compliance uncertainty while litigation continues. Watch for official FAQs, enforcement timelines, and any rapid ‘clean-up’ amendments that resolve document-version disputes.

    Source: Vanguard — January 1, 2026 (https://www.vanguardngr.com/2025/12/court-declines-to-stop-implementation-of-new-tax-laws-adjourns-case-to-jan-9/)

    Vanguard 2026-01-01

    Photo Credit: Vanguard

  • Nigeria’s revenue agency rebrands as Nigeria Revenue Service, unveils new logo

    Nigeria’s revenue agency rebrands as Nigeria Revenue Service, unveils new logo

    2026-01-01 07:05:00
    According to Punch, Nigeria’s former Federal Inland Revenue Service has formally transitioned to the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) and unveiled a new corporate identity as part of a wider revenue-administration overhaul.

    The agency’s leadership framed the change as more than a cosmetic update—positioning it as a unified, service-focused revenue authority aligned with Nigeria’s economic transformation agenda.

    The rollout is linked to the legal framework establishing the NRS, with expectations of improved efficiency, transparency and taxpayer-facing service upgrades.

    The Guardian Nigeria also described the rebrand as “an important milestone in the evolution of Nigeria’s revenue administration framework.”

    Leadership similarly reported the agency “unveils official logo” as it transmutes into the NRS.

    Echotitbits take:

    The real test isn’t branding—it’s delivery. Watch for clearer taxpayer guidance, faster dispute resolution, smarter digital enforcement, and proof that reforms expand the tax net without punishing already-compliant businesses.

    Source: The Punch — January 1, 2026 (https://punchng.com/nigeria-revenue-service-replaces-firs-unveils-new-logo/)

    The Punch 2026-01-01

    Photo Credit: The Punch

  • NNPC stays in the black as price war pushes pump price under ₦800

    NNPC stays in the black as price war pushes pump price under ₦800

    2026-01-01 06:05:00
    According to Punch, NNPC Ltd reported ₦502bn profit after tax for November 2025, extending its profitability streak amid shifting market conditions.

    Reporting by the outlet indicates gas output and infrastructure availability supported performance, even as upstream volumes remained constrained.

    The same report linked the downstream “price war” to NNPC retail cuts that pushed PMS prices below ₦800/litre in some locations, intensifying competition.

    TheCable also reported the monthly performance, quoting the profit figure and noting output movement in November 2025.

    APA News similarly referenced the update and quoted language attributing results to improved gas production and stronger trading performance.

    Echotitbits take:

    If NNPC keeps pricing aggressively to defend market share, watch for tighter station supply cycles, margin compression across marketers, and renewed debate on how “deregulated” pricing should work when the biggest player also plays stabilizer.

    Source: The Punch — January 1, 2026 (https://punchng.com/nnpc-posts-n502bn-profit-cuts-petrol-below-n800-litre/)

    The Punch 2026-01-01

    Photo Credit: The Punch