Tag: oil production

  • Federal Government Sets Ambitious 2.5 Million BPD Oil Target for 2027

    Federal Government Sets Ambitious 2.5 Million BPD Oil Target for 2027

    In an update published by Vanguard, the Federal Government has called on International Oil Companies (IOCs) to take decisive action to ramp up crude oil production. Speaking at the 2026 Nigerian International Energy Summit (NIES) in Abuja, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, emphasized that the country aims to reach a production capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2027. This follows a 2025 average of 1.6 million bpd, which fell short of the 2.06 million bpd budget benchmark.

    The Minister stressed that the success of the entire petroleum value chain—from refining to distribution—is fundamentally dependent on the upstream sector’s performance. He reassured investors that the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) provides a level playing field for both indigenous and foreign operators. The government’s renewed focus comes as the economy seeks to bolster foreign exchange earnings through increased energy exports.

    The Nation and BusinessDay are also tracking these developments from the NIES summit. The Nation noted that “the government is looking to eliminate technical hitches and oil theft that have historically hindered production.” BusinessDay highlighted the private sector’s response, quoting an industry executive who said, “the roadmap is clear, but the infrastructure for evacuation must match the production targets.”

    Echotitbits take:

    Achieving 2.5 million bpd is a tall order considering the aging infrastructure of many onshore assets. However, if the recent divestments by IOCs to local firms lead to more aggressive drilling in marginal fields, we might see a significant uptick. The government must ensure that the “enabling environment” mentioned includes physical security for pipelines to prevent the return of large-scale crude theft.

    Source: Arise – https://www.arise.tv/tinubu-reaffirms-nigerias-3-million-bpd-oil-output-target-by-2030/, February 5, 2026

    Photo credit: Arise

  • CBN projects faster growth and stronger reserves in 2026 as inflation eases

    CBN projects faster growth and stronger reserves in 2026 as inflation eases

    According to Premium Times, the CBN’s 2026 macro outlook projects faster economic expansion alongside further inflation moderation and stronger external buffers.

    The baseline assumes reform momentum continues—supporting business confidence, improving FX market credibility, and lifting investment planning if volatility stays contained.

    On prices, the outlook points to headline inflation easing further in 2026 as food and energy pressures cool and supply conditions improve, though risks remain from oil-output shocks and fiscal slippages.

    CBN also sketches a fiscal picture that still requires revenue reforms and expenditure discipline to avoid renewed macro stress.

    Vanguard reported the central bank forecast includes “a 4.49 per cent growth in GDP” and external reserves rising to “$51.04 billion.” Leadership similarly highlighted that CBN “forecasts $51bn external reserves in 2026.”

    Echotitbits take: This is cautious optimism, not a victory lap. Watch oil output, FX liquidity, and whether fiscal discipline holds—those will decide if the forecast becomes reality.

    Source: Premium Times – https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/846528-nigerian-economy-expected-to-grow-4-49-in-2026-inflation-to-ease-cbn.html December 30, 2025
    Premium Times December 30, 2025

    Photo Credit: Premium Times

  • CBN flags 2026 growth at 4.49%, expects inflation slide to 12.94%

    CBN flags 2026 growth at 4.49%, expects inflation slide to 12.94%

    2025-12-31 09:00:00

    According to The Nation, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s latest macro outlook projects real GDP growth of about 4.49% in 2026, while average inflation is expected to ease to roughly 12.94% as reforms, forex stability and improved output begin to bite.

    The outlook points to a mix of stronger non‑oil activity and a steadier external position, with the apex bank signalling that structural reforms and better macro coordination could support a more durable recovery.

    Markets will watch whether the assumptions—especially oil output and FX conditions—hold into Q1 2026, and how the forecast shapes monetary-policy expectations.

    Reuters also reported that the CBN “forecasts 4.49% economic growth” and sees inflation “easing to an average 12.94% in 2026,” while BusinessDay similarly wrote that Nigeria’s economy is “projected to expand by 4.49 percent in 2026.”

    Echotitbits take: The headline numbers look optimistic versus Nigeria’s recent inflation experience. The real test is whether disinflation is driven by supply (food, logistics, energy) and FX stability—not just base effects. Watch Q1 inflation prints and CBN messaging on rates/liquidity.

    Source: Guardian — December 31, 2025 (https://guardian.ng/business-services/cbn-projects-4-49-growth-lower-inflation-in-2026-outlook/)

    Guardian December 31, 2025

    Photo Credit: Guardian

  • Nigeria’s Oil Output Rises by 35,000 Barrels Per Day in November

    Nigeria’s Oil Output Rises by 35,000 Barrels Per Day in November

    Photo Credit:Punch Newspapers

    Nigeria’s crude oil production increased by 35,000 barrels per day in November, according to new data from industry trackers. The rise reflects modest gains from improved security in some fields and ongoing efforts to tackle theft and pipeline vandalism.

    While still below the country’s full capacity and official quota, the uptick offers slight relief for government revenues and foreign‑exchange inflows. Analysts caution, however, that sustained recovery will require deeper reforms, including infrastructure upgrades, better metering and stricter enforcement against illegal bunkering.

    Source: Punch Newspapers – 12 Dec 2025

    2025-12-12 10:00:00 Punch Newspapers – 12 Dec 2025 2025-12-12